Tuesday, December 9, 2008

Insanity

This chart (if you can see it since my previous chart has somewhat disappeared) represents the fear and insanity of the bond market. I predict the next bubble to pop will be the government debt markets. For what its worth, a low yield indicates and expensive bond. Notice the yield on the 3 month note, basically 0%. It's one expensive note. Sell expensive, buy cheap. Till next time. Also see this link for more info.

U.S. Treasuries


COUPONMATURITY
DATE
CURRENT
PRICE/YIELD
PRICE/YIELD
CHANGE
TIME
3-Month0.00003/12/20090.01 / .010.01 / .00012/08
6-Month0.00006/11/20090.25 / .25-0.03 / -.03015:15
12-Month0.00011/19/20090.44 / .45-0.05 / -.05115:00
2-Year1.25011/30/2010100-25+ / .830-06+ / -.10415:25
3-Year1.75011/15/2011101-25+ / 1.120-09½ / -.10315:51
5-Year2.00011/30/2013101-28 / 1.610-18+ / -.12115:48
10-Year3.75011/15/2018109-17+ / 2.650-26 / -.08915:53
30-Year4.50005/15/2038128-00 / 3.052-07½ / -.09915:53

Thursday, December 4, 2008

1$ Gas

Who would have thunk it? Gasoline futures BELOW 1$/gal. To extrapolate the future price at the pump, add taxes and approx 10%.

Energy


PRICECHANGE%CHANGETIME
BRENT CRUDE FUTR (USD/bbl.)42.900-2.540-5.5913:44
GAS OIL FUT (ICE) (USD/MT)477.250-10.750-2.2013:44
GASOLINE RBOB FUT (USd/gal.)98.810-5.340-5.1313:23
HEATING OIL FUTR (USd/gal.)152.390-6.010-3.7913:24
NATURAL GAS FUTR (USD/MMBtu)6.057-0.290-4.5713:24
WTI CRUDE FUTURE (USD/bbl.)44.100-2.690-5.7513:25